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TOKYO, Jan 28 (Reuters) – Key Tokyo rubber futures fell 2.4
percent on Wednesday as traders pocketed profits from a rally the
previous day and factored in a halt in the dollar’s advance
against the yen.
* The key Tokyo Commodity Exchange rubber contract for July delivery <0#JRU:> fell to an intraday low of 143.4 yen per kg, down 5.8 yen or 3.9 percent, before closing at 145.7 yen.
* The contract, which was launched on Tuesday, closed up 7.6 percent on its debut to touch a one-week high for any TOCOM benchmark as the dollar gained ground against the yen and propped up yen-based futures prices.
* The dollar firmed 0.3 percent from late U.S. trading on Tuesday to 89.29 yen <JPY=>, but was off a week-high hit the previous day of above 90 yen. [USD/]
* The TOCOM market has mostly hovered below 150 yen since the start of the year.
* A Tokyo-based analyst said the TOCOM rubber market has hit bottom, although it has yet to find the incentive to move higher.
* He said news of export cuts by the world's top rubber producers was helping to support prices, but the strength was lacking for them to move higher.
* "We need news about demand recovering for prices to climb, but at the moment there is none," he said.
* He added that investment funds were still shy about returning in a major way to commodities, and that when they did return gold would be the first to benefit.
* U.S. crude CLc1 firmed 1 percent on Wednesday from a 9 percent fall the previous day as worries over demand due to the faltering global economy eased. [O/R]
* India's state-run Rubber Board on Wednesday revised down the country's rubber consumption to 862,000 tonnes from 899,000 tonnes in fiscal 2008/09 as tyre makers are cutting consumption in response to lower demand. [ID:nBMB004408]
* In the auto industry, Britain pledged on Tuesday to guarantee up to 2.3 billion pounds ($3.25 billion) of loans to help its ailing car industry cope with a slump in demand that has cost thousands of jobs. [IDnLR230021]
* The physical market is expected to remain quiet for most of the week as China, the largest rubber consumer, marks the Lunar New Year holiday.
* The world's top three rubber producing countries -- Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia -- have started to cut first-quarter exports in a bid to prop up prices, but slack demand due to the global recession is likely to limit a price recovery.
PRICES OF ASIAN PHYSICAL RUBBER COMPARED WITH TUESDAY
Grade Price Change
Thai RSS3 (Feb) $1.52/kg unchanged
Thai RSS3 (Mar) $1.52/kg unchanged
Thai STR20 (Feb) $1.46/kg unchanged
Thai STR20 (Mar) $1.46/kg unchanged
Malaysia SMR20 (Feb) $1.45/kg N/A
Malaysia SMR20 (Mar) $1.45/kg N/A
Indonesia SIR20 (Feb) $0.63/lb -$0.04
Indonesia SIR20 (Mar) $0.63/lb -$0.04
Thai USS3 46 baht/kg unchanged
Thai 60-percent latex (drums, Feb) $1,150/tonne unchanged
Thai 60-percent latex (bulk, Feb) $1,050/tonne unchanged
Source: Reuters